NPA · Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste Bloc: Extrême gauche
In the same bloc
Other candidates of the “Extrême gauche” bloc, with their current score.
Nathalie Arthaud
LO 0.7%
Profile
Experimental · automatically generated (local model) from Wikipedia and the press — may contain errors.
Philippe Poutou is a French far-left worker, trade unionist, and politician, and a member of NPA – L'Anticapitaliste. A presidential candidate on three occasions, he received between 0.76% and 1.15% of the vote. He served on the Bordeaux city council from 2020 to 2026 before losing his seat.
Strengths
- According to Wikipedia, he was elected to the Bordeaux city and metropolitan councils in 2020. Wikipédia
- According to Wikipedia, he maintained a presidential electoral presence across three consecutive cycles (2012, 2017, 2022). Wikipédia
- According to Wikipedia, he benefited from an electoral alliance with La France insoumise and the Yellow Vests during the 2020 municipal elections. Wikipédia
Weaknesses
- According to Wikipedia, his score in the presidential election decreased with each ballot, falling from 1.15% in 2012 to 0.76% in 2022. Wikipédia
- According to Wikipedia, he lost his seat as a municipal councillor in 2026 after his list was eliminated in the first round. Wikipédia
- According to Wikipedia, he never exceeded the threshold of 1.2% of the vote during his presidential candidacies. Wikipédia
Text from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Polls and trend
Dots: one first-round poll. Line: model average. Band: 80% interval.
How to read this chart. Each dot is a published poll (pollster, end date of fieldwork); the line joins the average score estimated by the model. Hover over a dot to see the pollster and sample size.
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Polls from different pollsters are not directly comparable: each has its own method and usual bias, which the model corrects in part. The spread between dots on the same day reflects this diversity as much as statistical uncertainty.
View the figures as a table
| Date | Pollster | 1st-round score | n = |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2025 | Odoxa | 2.0% | 1005 |
| 4 Apr 2025 | Elabe | 2.0% | 1413 |
| 4 Apr 2025 | Elabe | 2.0% | 1413 |
| 4 Apr 2025 | Elabe | 2.0% | 1413 |
| 27 Mar 2025 | Ifop | 1.0% | 1119 |
| 27 Mar 2025 | Ifop | 1.0% | 1119 |
| 27 Mar 2025 | Ifop | 1.0% | 1119 |
| 27 Mar 2025 | Ifop | 1.0% | 1119 |
| 9 Dec 2024 | Ifop | 0.5% | 1101 |
| 9 Dec 2024 | Ifop | 0.5% | 1101 |
| 9 Dec 2024 | Ifop | 0.5% | 1101 |
| 9 Dec 2024 | Ifop | 0.5% | 1101 |
Probability of winning, day by day
Line: main scenario. Band: spread across poll scenarios (min–max).
Reconstructed curve: the model replayed day by day on the polls already published. Days without a recent poll are missing.
How to read this chart. The line is the candidate's probability of winning over time, the band its uncertainty interval. It is reconstructed day by day on the polls already published.
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A falling probability does not say the candidate is "losing": it says that, given the known polls, a smaller share of simulations has them winning. The model knows neither manifestos nor events, only the numbers.
In the press
What newspapers write is not voter support. None of these figures enters the probability.
How to read this table. The list shows recent articles in which the candidate is mentioned, with headline, outlet and date. Each headline links to the original article.
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The number of mentions measures press attention, not opinion: an article may be favourable, critical or purely factual, and the site does not judge. The outlets tracked cover the whole spectrum; their list is on the "Press" page.
No data yet.
What the markets say
No market quotes this candidate.