D! · Debout ! Bloc: Autres gauche (disputed affiliation)
In the same bloc
No other candidate of this bloc in the current table.
Profile
Experimental · automatically generated (local model) from Wikipedia and the press — may contain errors.
François Ruffin, journalist and founder of the newspaper Fakir, is a French politician elected as a deputy for the Somme department in 2017. After being close to La France insoumise, he distanced himself from the movement in 2024 and co-founded the Nouveau Front populaire coalition. In 2026, he runs as a presidential candidate under the «Debout!» label, focusing his campaign on defending workers and abolishing the privileges of former presidents.
Strengths
- He enjoys established media recognition thanks to his work as a journalist and documentary filmmaker, rewarded with a César Award for the film «Merci Patron !». Wikipédia
- He managed to unite part of the left by being one of the main initiators of the Nouveau Front populaire coalition. Wikipédia
- He maintains constant visibility in public debate by regularly challenging institutions and political figures, as seen in his denunciation of the benefits granted to former presidents. Epoch Times · 31 Oct 2026 ; 20 Minutes · 30 Oct 2026 ; Le Figaro · 30 Oct 2026
Weaknesses
- According to Libération (left-leaning), his presidential campaign is struggling and overshadowed by those of other candidates such as Raphaël Glucksmann and Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Libération Left · 30 Oct 2026 ; Libération Left · 30 Oct 2026
- He faces accusations of racism and paternalism from La France insoumise regarding sequences in his comic book, which he acknowledged could «hurt». Frontières · 31 Oct 2026
- His positions, such as his defense of Kylian Mbappé or his remarks on Mao Zedong, spark media controversies. Tribuna.com · 30 Oct 2026 ; Le Parisien · 30 Oct 2026
Text from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Polls and trend
Dots: one first-round poll. Line: model average. Band: 80% interval.
How to read this chart. Each dot is a published poll (pollster, end date of fieldwork); the line joins the average score estimated by the model. Hover over a dot to see the pollster and sample size.
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Polls from different pollsters are not directly comparable: each has its own method and usual bias, which the model corrects in part. The spread between dots on the same day reflects this diversity as much as statistical uncertainty.
View the figures as a table
| Date | Pollster | 1st-round score | n = |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | Ifop | 2.0% | 1928 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Ifop | 1.5% | 1928 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Elabe | 3.0% | 1701 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | YouGov | 2.0% | 1094 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Ifop | 2.0% | 1525 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Ifop | 3.0% | 1393 |
| 21 Sep 2026 | YouGov | 2.0% | 1103 |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Cluster17 | 4.0% | 1711 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Elabe | 6.0% | 1501 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Elabe | 6.0% | 1503 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Elabe | 6.0% | 1503 |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Ifop/Hexagone | 5.5% | 9128 |
Probability of winning, day by day
Line: main scenario. Band: spread across poll scenarios (min–max).
Reconstructed curve: the model replayed day by day on the polls already published. Days without a recent poll are missing.
How to read this chart. The line is the candidate's probability of winning over time, the band its uncertainty interval. It is reconstructed day by day on the polls already published.
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A falling probability does not say the candidate is "losing": it says that, given the known polls, a smaller share of simulations has them winning. The model knows neither manifestos nor events, only the numbers.
In the press
What newspapers write is not voter support. None of these figures enters the probability.
How to read this table. The list shows recent articles in which the candidate is mentioned, with headline, outlet and date. Each headline links to the original article.
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The number of mentions measures press attention, not opinion: an article may be favourable, critical or purely factual, and the site does not judge. The outlets tracked cover the whole spectrum; their list is on the "Press" page.
Mentions : 31
- Ruffin dénonce les 2,3 millions d'euros prévus pour Macron et veut supprimer les avantages des anciens présidents - Epoch Times Epoch Times · 31 Oct 2026
- François Ruffin admet que des séquences de sa BD pouvaient « blesser », face aux accusations de racisme et de paternalisme de LFI - Frontières Frontières · 31 Oct 2026
- « Il ne devrait plus y avoir un rond pour Macron à la sortie de l’Élysée » : François Ruffin appelle à supprimer les avantages des anciens présidents Le Parisien · 31 Oct 2026
- Polémique en Chine : Kylian Mbappé soutenu par François Ruffin face aux retombées du capitalisme et du nationalisme chinois - Ohmymag Ohmymag · 30 Oct 2026
- François Ruffin tacle le budget 2027 et interpelle sur les avantages accordés aux anciens présidents - Ohmymag Ohmymag · 30 Oct 2026
- Bugdet 2027: François Ruffin dénonce "un budget de provocation" et appelle le gouvernement à revoir sa copie - BFM BFM · 30 Oct 2026
- François Ruffin, candidat "Debout!" à l'élection présidentielle, "craint que le drame de Trappes soit à l'image de ce qu'il risque de se passer si Marine Le Pen arrivait au pouvoir" - BFM BFM · 30 Oct 2026
- “On a un salariat à deux vitesses”, constate François Ruffin, candidat “Debout!” à l’élection présidentielle - Orange Actualités Orange Actualités · 30 Oct 2026
What the markets say
No market quotes this candidate.