HF · La France humaniste Bloc: Прочие, вне колонок (disputed affiliation)
In the same bloc
No other candidate of this bloc in the current table.
Profile
Experimental · automatically generated (local model) from Wikipedia and the press — may contain errors.
Dominique de Villepin, former French Prime Minister, is identified as a potential figure for the 2027 presidential election, although he refused to participate in a center-right primary proposed by Gabriel Attal. He is developing specific economic proposals, notably the creation of a single wealth tax and tax exemptions for business transfers during the owner's lifetime. His candidacy is also marked by recent judicial controversies and debates over costs related to his past offices.
Strengths
- He proposes an economic program including a single wealth tax and the removal of taxes on business transfers during the owner's lifetime. Le Courrier des Stratèges · 30 Oct 2026 ; Yahoo Finance France · 29 Oct 2026 ; RMC · 28 Oct 2026
- He maintains media visibility by intervening in public debate, notably criticizing the positions of other candidates such as Édouard Philippe. Le Parisien Centre
- He retains the stature of a former head of government, which grants him institutional legitimacy in the political landscape. Wikipédia
Weaknesses
- He was heard by the National Financial Prosecutor's Office in connection with the statuettes case. Frontières · 30 Oct 2026
- He refused to participate in the center-right primary, which could complicate his strategy of rallying support against other candidates. 20 Minutes · 30 Oct 2026 ; 20 Minutes · 30 Oct 2026 ; Le Parisien Centre
- Costs related to his status as former Prime Minister, estimated at 210,000 euros in 2025, are attracting media attention. NextPlz · 31 Oct 2026 ; Orange Actualités · 30 Oct 2026 ; RTL · 30 Oct 2026
Text from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Polls and trend
Dots: one first-round poll. Line: model average. Band: 80% interval.
How to read this chart. Each dot is a published poll (pollster, end date of fieldwork); the line joins the average score estimated by the model. Hover over a dot to see the pollster and sample size.
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Polls from different pollsters are not directly comparable: each has its own method and usual bias, which the model corrects in part. The spread between dots on the same day reflects this diversity as much as statistical uncertainty.
View the figures as a table
| Date | Pollster | 1st-round score | n = |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | Harris Interactive | 2.0% | 2094 |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Harris Interactive | 1.0% | 2094 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Ifop | 1.5% | 1928 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Elabe | 3.0% | 1701 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Elabe | 2.0% | 1701 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | YouGov | 1.0% | 1094 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Ifop | 1.5% | 1525 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Ifop | 2.0% | 1393 |
| 21 Sep 2026 | YouGov | 2.0% | 1103 |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Cluster17 | 3.5% | 1711 |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Cluster17 | 4.0% | 1711 |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Cluster17 | 3.5% | 1711 |
Probability of winning, day by day
Line: main scenario. Band: spread across poll scenarios (min–max).
Reconstructed curve: the model replayed day by day on the polls already published. Days without a recent poll are missing.
How to read this chart. The line is the candidate's probability of winning over time, the band its uncertainty interval. It is reconstructed day by day on the polls already published.
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A falling probability does not say the candidate is "losing": it says that, given the known polls, a smaller share of simulations has them winning. The model knows neither manifestos nor events, only the numbers.
In the press
What newspapers write is not voter support. None of these figures enters the probability.
How to read this table. The list shows recent articles in which the candidate is mentioned, with headline, outlet and date. Each headline links to the original article.
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The number of mentions measures press attention, not opinion: an article may be favourable, critical or purely factual, and the site does not judge. The outlets tracked cover the whole spectrum; their list is on the "Press" page.
Mentions : 9
- Présidentielle 2027 : Dominique de Villepin étrille les propos d’Édouard Philippe sur « l’échec de l’intégration » et « la dictature de l’évidence » Le Parisien · 31 Oct 2026
- Nicolas Sarkozy, 756.000€, Dominique de Villepin, 210.000€, pourquoi les anciens dirigeants coûtent encore des millions à l'État - NextPlz NextPlz · 31 Oct 2026
- Présidentielle 2027 : « On les a gentiment éconduits », Dominique de Villepin a refusé la proposition de Gabriel Attal de prendre part à une primaire Le Parisien · 31 Oct 2026
- Dominique de Villepin : « je souhaite créer un impôt unique sur le patrimoine » - Le Courrier des Stratèges Le Courrier des Stratèges · 30 Oct 2026
- Attal, Philippe, de Villepin… qui est pour, qui est contre une primaire au centre-droit - 20 Minutes 20 Minutes · 30 Oct 2026
- 756.000 euros pour Sarkozy, 210.000 pour Villepin… Les anciens présidents et premiers ministres coûtent encore des millions à l'État - RTL RTL · 30 Oct 2026
- Présidentielle 2027 : Attal, Philippe, Villepin, Retailleau… qui est pour, qui est contre une primaire au centre-droit ? 20 Minutes · 30 Oct 2026
- Nicolas Sarkozy, François Hollande, Dominique de Villepin… Les anciens présidents et Premiers ministres ont coûté plus de 3 millions d'euros aux contribuables en 2025 - Orange Actualités Orange Actualités · 30 Oct 2026
What the markets say
No market quotes this candidate.