PS · Parti socialiste Bloc: PS – Place publique
In the same bloc
Other candidates of the “PS – Place publique” bloc, with their current score.
Raphaël Glucksmann
PP 13.2%
Profile
Experimental · automatically generated (local model) from Wikipedia and the press — may contain errors.
Olivier Faure is a French politician, a member of the Socialist Party since 1984 and a deputy for Seine-et-Marne since 2012. He served as First Secretary of the Socialist Party starting in 2018. A candidate in the 2026 Socialist primary ahead of the 2027 presidential election, he was eliminated in the first round.
Strengths
- According to the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure introduced a bill on the nation's recognition of repatriates from Indochina, which was unanimously adopted by the Senate. Parti socialiste Left · 19 Oct 2026
Weaknesses
- Olivier Faure was eliminated in the first round of the 2026 Socialist primary, failing to qualify for the second round. Wikipédia
Text from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Polls and trend
Dots: one first-round poll. Line: model average. Band: 80% interval.
How to read this chart. Each dot is a published poll (pollster, end date of fieldwork); the line joins the average score estimated by the model. Hover over a dot to see the pollster and sample size.
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Polls from different pollsters are not directly comparable: each has its own method and usual bias, which the model corrects in part. The spread between dots on the same day reflects this diversity as much as statistical uncertainty.
View the figures as a table
| Date | Pollster | 1st-round score | n = |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | Ifop | 3.0% | 1393 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Ifop | 4.0% | 1393 |
| 21 Sep 2026 | YouGov | 5.0% | 1103 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Ipsos | 5.5% | 13060 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Ipsos | 5.0% | 13060 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Ipsos | 4.5% | 13060 |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Ipsos | 5.5% | 1500 |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Ipsos | 4.5% | 1500 |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Ipsos | 4.5% | 1500 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Elabe | 3.5% | 1501 |
| 20 May 2025 | Ifop | 4.5% | 1114 |
| 4 Apr 2025 | Elabe | 4.0% | 1413 |
Probability of winning, day by day
Line: main scenario. Band: spread across poll scenarios (min–max).
Reconstructed curve: the model replayed day by day on the polls already published. Days without a recent poll are missing.
How to read this chart. The line is the candidate's probability of winning over time, the band its uncertainty interval. It is reconstructed day by day on the polls already published.
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A falling probability does not say the candidate is "losing": it says that, given the known polls, a smaller share of simulations has them winning. The model knows neither manifestos nor events, only the numbers.
In the press
What newspapers write is not voter support. None of these figures enters the probability.
How to read this table. The list shows recent articles in which the candidate is mentioned, with headline, outlet and date. Each headline links to the original article.
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The number of mentions measures press attention, not opinion: an article may be favourable, critical or purely factual, and the site does not judge. The outlets tracked cover the whole spectrum; their list is on the "Press" page.
Mentions : 3
- Courrier d’Olivier Faure au ministre de l’Intérieur, suite aux violences d’extrême droite du 24 octobre Parti socialiste · 29 Oct 2026
- Les dessous de l’organigramme de campagne de Raphaël Glucksmann L'Opinion · 28 Oct 2026
- La proposition de loi portant reconnaissance de la nation envers les rapatriés d’Indochine, portée par Olivier Faure, est adoptée à l’unanimité. Parti socialiste · 19 Oct 2026
What the markets say
No market quotes this candidate.