LE · Les Écologistes Bloc: Écologistes
In the same bloc
Other candidates of the “Écologistes” bloc, with their current score.
Marine Tondelier
LE 3.3%
Profile
Experimental · automatically generated (local model) from Wikipedia and the press — may contain errors.
Yannick Jadot, born in 1967, is a French politician and member of the Greens, later joining the Ecologist Pole. A former Member of the European Parliament and candidate in the 2022 presidential election, he was elected Senator for Paris in 2023. In 2026, he participates in public debates on media racism and security issues, while being identified as a supporter of Raphaël Glucksmann for the 2027 presidential election.
Strengths
- He has significant institutional experience, having served as a Member of the European Parliament from 2009 to 2023 and being elected Senator for Paris in 2023. Wikipédia
- He maintains media visibility by commenting on current national topics, such as reactions to the Trappes attack and associated mobilizations. France Info · 30 Oct 2026 ; Le Monde.fr · 30 Oct 2026 ; franceinfo · 30 Oct 2026
- He retains the ability to mobilize within his political camp, having been designated the presidential candidate by the ecological primary in 2021 and currently supporting a left-wing figure. Wikipédia ; Libération Left · 30 Oct 2026
Weaknesses
- His score in the 2022 presidential election was low, with 4.63% of the vote, placing him in sixth position. Wikipédia
- According to Le Figaro, his discourse is perceived as revealing an "extremely degraded relationship with the struggle for the Republic". Le Figaro · 30 Oct 2026
- He faces criticism from the right and far-right, who accuse him of having "ideologically armed" the Trappes terrorist, an accusation he turns against his opponents. Le Parisien Centre ; franceinfo · 30 Oct 2026
Text from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Polls and trend
Dots: one first-round poll. Line: model average. Band: 80% interval.
How to read this chart. Each dot is a published poll (pollster, end date of fieldwork); the line joins the average score estimated by the model. Hover over a dot to see the pollster and sample size.
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Polls from different pollsters are not directly comparable: each has its own method and usual bias, which the model corrects in part. The spread between dots on the same day reflects this diversity as much as statistical uncertainty.
View the figures as a table
| Date | Pollster | 1st-round score | n = |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2023 | Harris Interactive | 5.0% | 2525 |
| 4 Sep 2023 | Harris Interactive | 6.0% | 2525 |
| 4 Sep 2023 | Harris Interactive | 6.0% | 2525 |
| 4 Sep 2023 | Harris Interactive | 7.0% | 2525 |
| 4 Sep 2023 | Harris Interactive | 7.0% | 2525 |
| 4 Sep 2023 | Harris Interactive | 5.0% | 2525 |
| 4 Sep 2023 | Harris Interactive | 6.0% | 2525 |
| 4 Sep 2023 | Harris Interactive | 5.0% | 2525 |
| 7 Apr 2023 | Harris Interactive | 4.0% | 1320 |
| 7 Apr 2023 | Harris Interactive | 5.0% | 1320 |
| 7 Apr 2023 | Harris Interactive | 5.0% | 1320 |
| 7 Apr 2023 | Harris Interactive | 4.0% | 1320 |
Probability of winning, day by day
Line: main scenario. Band: spread across poll scenarios (min–max).
Reconstructed curve: the model replayed day by day on the polls already published. Days without a recent poll are missing.
How to read this chart. The line is the candidate's probability of winning over time, the band its uncertainty interval. It is reconstructed day by day on the polls already published.
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A falling probability does not say the candidate is "losing": it says that, given the known polls, a smaller share of simulations has them winning. The model knows neither manifestos nor events, only the numbers.
In the press
What newspapers write is not voter support. None of these figures enters the probability.
How to read this table. The list shows recent articles in which the candidate is mentioned, with headline, outlet and date. Each headline links to the original article.
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The number of mentions measures press attention, not opinion: an article may be favourable, critical or purely factual, and the site does not judge. The outlets tracked cover the whole spectrum; their list is on the "Press" page.
Mentions : 8
- Présidentielle 2027 : Yannick Jadot considère que la droite et l’extrême droite ont armé idéologiquement le terroriste de Trappes Le Parisien · 31 Oct 2026
- «S’ils ne se corrigent pas, ils dégagent» : Yannick Jadot réclame des sanctions plus dures contre le racisme sur CNews Libération · 30 Oct 2026
- Attentat raciste de Trappes : Yannick Jadot regrette l’absence de Gabriel Attal au rassemblement en hommage aux victimes prévu vendredi soir ; Edouard Philippe se rendra à La Verrière - Le Monde.fr Le Monde.fr · 30 Oct 2026
- «Un rapport extrêmement dégradé à la lutte pour la République» : Jadot, proche de Glucksmann, déplore l'absence de Philippe et Attal à Trappes - Le Figaro Le Figaro · 30 Oct 2026
- Yannick Jadot réclame six mois sans chasse auprès des Sénateurs - Chasse Passion Chasse Passion · 30 Oct 2026
- Attentat raciste de Trappes, mobilisation du 31 octobre, présidentielle... Le "8h30 franceinfo" de Yannick Jadot - franceinfo franceinfo · 30 Oct 2026
- Racisme dans les médias : Yannick Jadot veut durcir les sanctions France Info · 30 Oct 2026
- Yannick Jadot regrette "que la droite qui se prétend républicaine ne fasse pas le déplacement" pour l'hommage aux victimes de l'attentat raciste à Trappes - franceinfo franceinfo · 30 Oct 2026
What the markets say
No market quotes this candidate.