Presidential Election 2027Probabilities of winning, recalculated every day
Philippe de Villiers
Photo: Guillaume Paumier, CC BY-SA 3.0, Wikimedia Commons

Candidates

Philippe de Villiers

R! — Reconquête

Profile

Experimental · automatically generated (local model) from Wikipedia and the press — may contain errors.

Philippe de Villiers, founder of Puy du Fou and former Secretary of State, is a political figure associated with sovereignist right-wing politics. Sources from 2026 mention his media interventions on social issues and the existence of a petition calling for his candidacy in the 2027 presidential election.

Strengths

  • An online petition calls for his candidacy in the 2027 presidential election. MyPetition.org · 30 Oct 2026
  • He has media visibility that allows him to speak on the current societal situation. CNews · 30 Oct 2026

Weaknesses

  • He is generally associated with the far right, particularly since his withdrawal from active political life. Wikipédia
  • Some of his media interventions are described as settling scores. Toutelatele · 30 Oct 2026

Text from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0)

Polls and trend

Dots: one first-round poll. Line: model average. Band: 80% interval.

How to read this chart. Each dot is a published poll (pollster, end date of fieldwork); the line joins the average score estimated by the model. Hover over a dot to see the pollster and sample size.

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Polls from different pollsters are not directly comparable: each has its own method and usual bias, which the model corrects in part. The spread between dots on the same day reflects this diversity as much as statistical uncertainty.

View the figures as a table
DatePollster1st-round scoren =

Probability of winning, day by day

Line: main scenario. Band: spread across poll scenarios (min–max).

Reconstructed curve: the model replayed day by day on the polls already published. Days without a recent poll are missing.

How to read this chart. The line is the candidate's probability of winning over time, the band its uncertainty interval. It is reconstructed day by day on the polls already published.

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A falling probability does not say the candidate is "losing": it says that, given the known polls, a smaller share of simulations has them winning. The model knows neither manifestos nor events, only the numbers.

In the press

What newspapers write is not voter support. None of these figures enters the probability.

How to read this table. The list shows recent articles in which the candidate is mentioned, with headline, outlet and date. Each headline links to the original article.

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The number of mentions measures press attention, not opinion: an article may be favourable, critical or purely factual, and the site does not judge. The outlets tracked cover the whole spectrum; their list is on the "Press" page.

Mentions : 4

What the markets say

No market quotes this candidate.