Presidential Election 2027Probabilities of winning, recalculated every day

← Parties and blocs

Rassemblement national (RN)

Bloc: Rassemblement national et alliés. Leader: Jordan Bardella (president).

колонка «RN and allies» (подколонки UDR, RN)

Wikipedia · Search news about the party and its leader

Profile

Experimental · automatically generated (local model) from Wikipedia and the press — may contain errors.

Rassemblement National (RN), formerly the National Front, is a French political party founded in 1972 and positioned on the far right of the political spectrum. Led successively by Jean-Marie Le Pen, Marine Le Pen, and Jordan Bardella, it reached the second round of the presidential election in 2002, 2017, and 2022. The party is currently the subject of debates regarding its normalization strategy, its relations with the media, and accusations of incitement to hatred in the context of the Trappes attack.

Strengths

  • The party has demonstrated significant electoral progress by reaching the second round of the presidential election on three occasions (2002, 2017, 2022). Wikipédia
  • According to Le Point (right-wing), the RN seeks to shed the label of 'neither right nor left' to position itself in historical and political debates. Le Point · 31 Oct 2026
  • Economic and political circles initially aligned with Macron, such as investment banks and consulting firms, are shifting towards the RN, indicating a change in alignments, according to L'Express (center-right). L'Express Centre-right · 28 Oct 2026

Weaknesses

  • The RN is accused by the left and local elected officials of having 'ideologically armed' the shooter in the racist attack in Trappes and of 'poisoning minds'. Le Nouvel Obs Centre-left · 31 Oct 2026 ; Midi Libre · 30 Oct 2026
  • According to Libération (left-wing), physical and racist violence was perpetrated against journalists during the party congress, sparking outrage among the leadership of fourteen media outlets. Libération Left · 30 Oct 2026
  • The party faces judicial investigations, notably for embezzlement of public funds involving deputy José Beaurain, and legal questions regarding Marine Le Pen's eligibility to run for office. France Info · 31 Oct 2026 ; Le Parisien Centre

Text from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0)

Figures

Bloc candidates

Candidates of the “Rassemblement national et alliés” bloc (all parties), current score and change over about 7 days from the model history.

CandidateParty1st-round score7-day change
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen RN35.7% 0 pts

How to read this table. One row per candidate of the bloc: current score and change over about a week. The change comes from the model's daily history, not from a single poll.

Learn more

A dash means the history does not reach back far enough. Days reconstructed after the fact are part of this history.

Press coverage of the party's figures

Jordan Bardella

Marine Le Pen